After months of discussions, the USA has taken the first step towards India's inclusion in NATO Plus. However, it is unlikely that India will become a full member of NATO before 2030. Nevertheless, India is expected to become a NATO Plus country in the future. Feel free to share your thoughts on this matter in the comments section below.
NATO, which stands for the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium. Currently, there are 31 member countries in NATO (recently joined by Finland). Interestingly, NATO was established after World War II. Over the past decade, concerns about NATO's relevance and effectiveness have emerged, with many countries considering it outdated. Former US President Donald Trump, in particular, expressed this view multiple times.
However, the recent events involving Russia's aggression in Ukraine have highlighted NATO's importance. Despite Russia's attempts to invade Ukraine, the country has displayed remarkable resilience with the support of NATO members who have provided weapons such as tanks and artillery. This has resulted in Russia's failure to achieve its military objectives, leaving them in a vulnerable position.
The conflict in Ukraine could potentially continue for many years, with NATO playing a crucial role. NATO's focus has now shifted towards expanding its influence into the Indo-Pacific region. This information can be found on NATO's official website, where they express their intention to expand into the Indo-Pacific area. NATO has formulated a policy called NATO 2030, which guides its actions.
While Russia remains occupied with Ukraine, its primary target is believed to be China. Since China is geographically distant from Europe, NATO was originally established to protect the North Atlantic region, including the United States, Canada, and European countries.
Under the NATO 2030 agenda, the organization aims to expand into the Indo-Pacific region and counter China's growing influence. NATO clarifies that it does not seek to attack China, but it will become actively engaged if China were to initiate aggression against Taiwan or any other country. The level of engagement with NATO would determine the response of each country. Notably, NATO has already begun supplying weapons to Taiwan, as mentioned in the article "China Breathes Fire." This move, particularly the acquisition of NATO's advanced tactical data link system, Link 22, has made China nervous about NATO's official entry into the Indo-Pacific region.
China has issued warnings to neighboring countries, urging them to remain vigilant as NATO expands its presence in Asia. This expansion is a direct response to China's recent acts of aggression against India, Taiwan, and even Japan. China's actions, such as missile deployments near Japan, have instilled fear and prompted neighboring countries to seek additional security measures.
The US Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party has recommended that NATO expand into the Indo-Pacific region. In addition to the QUAD and G7, NATO Plus members should increase their engagement in the region. In a hypothetical scenario where China attacks Taiwan, Taiwan would have the ability to retaliate through economic sanctions, with the support of NATO Plus countries.
India is already a member of the QUAD and participates in G7 meetings as a guest, though not an official member. However, it is suggested that India should also be included as a NATO Plus member. The countries currently part of NATO Plus include Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Israel, and South Korea.
Considering possible scenarios, if India were to become a NATO Plus member in the next 3 to 4 years and China were to attack Taiwan, it is expected that NATO Plus countries would provide military support to Taiwan, similar to how the German army is assisting Ukraine. At that time, the US might pressure India to impose sanctions on China, restricting trade relations. This pressure would extend to other countries as well, creating an economic blockade for China in the region. However, it is highly unlikely that NATO Plus countries, including the US and Taiwan, would engage in a direct war with India.
The decision for India to join NATO will not be made hastily but rather through careful deliberation. It will involve monthly discussions, opinions from foreign policy experts, and thorough consideration by the Indian government. Ultimately, after a lengthy process, a decision will be reached on whether India should become a member of NATO or pursue alternative paths.
Now, it's your turn to share your opinion. Should India become a member of NATO and will it restore peace in region? Let us know your thoughts in the comments section below.
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